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MARKET WRAP: AN INCREMENTAL BUDGET AND ITS AFTEREFFECT ON MARKET

The budget has been an important part in the financial year, with the government announcing its plans for the next fiscal year. The Budget shakes up the investor sentiments and the market turns more volatile. Yes, budget announcements do affect the stock prices of those companies who will be affected favorably or otherwise. Such Volatility was seen today when honorable Finance Minister presented her first budget of Modi Government.

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The Sensex which opened with around 40000 points, continues with an extended loss. The ‘BIG NUMBER BUDGET’ (as it was called) which focused on social sector spending didn’t seem to interest the investor sentiments. The announcements such as increasing the public shareholding of the listed companies to 35% further lead to the downfall in the market. The BSE Sensex plunged around 395 points in Metal, auto, IT and Power sectors. Similarly, the Nifty 50 sank 135.60 points to 11,811.15. The bankex index started showing upward sign after the announcement of infusion of Rs70000 in Public Sector banks.

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The budget didn’t have much for the equity and commodity market. The other factors that affected the investor sentiments were the removal of exemption on income arising out of the buyback of shares, which would affect the buyback of shares on all listed companies in the future. The disinvestment policy which was announced tweaked the sentiments. The government is unable to find a buyer for the liquidation awaiting Jet, it remains a high question of how the high target disinvestment of Air India will be done. Combining the effect of weak rupee and higher international prices, the new decision to increase the customs duty on Gold and precious metal would certainly increase their prices in the country. The STT (Securities Transaction Tax) change was a relief to the traders transacting in options, but still, it remains the largest deterrent in price discovery.

However, the budget tried to include short term challenges. The international market has a lot of liquidity, an attempt to seize the opportunity was done by the Finance Minister in her budget. The government offshore borrowing scheme which was focused to relieve the domestic market of high-interest rates. The move to uplift the farmers with a ‘Zero budget’, which is a method that ends the reliance on loans and drastically cut production cost, it would help in ending the debt cycle of farmers. The share prices of major Agri-based industries like UPL, Dhanuka Agritech showed a downfall with the announcement of Zero-budget farming.

 The budget was holistic in nature covering all the major reform areas which focused on poor households, youth, and infrastructure and agriculture sectors.  But the important question which was much awaited by the market, “What Is the Fiscal deficit Target for the next fiscal year??” remained unanswered. Apart from this, the budget didn’t include an immediate measure to curb the impending slowdown. The incremental budget came as no suspense, as most of it was presented in February. The market takes time to adjust to the aftermaths of the budget. The role from budget day to one week is an indication that the market has digested the information and there will be clarifications in the thoughts. The next few days in the markets is going to be interesting. Let’s wait and watch and keep our fingers crossed for the markets to perform better!

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