Featured Image – Bloomberg and The Mint
Marred by rising crude prices, rising almost to 22.34%, and collapsing small-cap and mid cap indexes and funds, June, had left but a sorry image in the minds of investors, arbitrageurs and speculators. FIIs had also been net sellers up-to the last month. However, presenting itself as an ‘inflection month’, July has brought renewed hope into the share market. Influx of FIIs resulting into a net buyer equation and positive equity prices have established July as the month of reversals.
Here are a few status quo changes in July as compared to that of the year as a whole:
Rise in BSE’s Small Cap and Mid-Cap Index
As compared to a loss of 10.15% and 13.76% in mid-cap and small cap indexes respectively, this month saw a combined gain of 3% in the same. The reason quoted behind such a rise in this strata of indices is the confidence of investors in large cap funds and indexes, leading to an indirect confidence in small cap and mid cap funds.
2. Crude Oil prices fell
The Brent crude oil classification prices fell 5.8% as compared to the rise in the same by 22.34% leading up-to June. Not only has it been an issue, that has affected CPI, but also affected WPI to a huge extent. Which means, industrial requirement of oil, led to a sharp increase in inflation numbers leading up-to June.
3. FIIs show a net buyer status in July
A prime concern with the performance of the stock market in India, was the issues pertaining to cash being drained out in the form of FIIs, due to lack of investor optimism. However, due to renewed optimism in the form of company results and returns, monsoon, government’s rural spending push and hopes of pick up of demand driving stocks is changing the situation for better. Foreign investors, who had drained out a sum of 681.40 million dollars by selling their shares leading up-to June, had become net buyers investing around 76.1 million dollars in July.
Not only this, but ratings agencies like CRISIL and Moody’s have estimated that although macroeconomic parameters might not be great, but they are healthier than the same in 2013. Compared to other indices like KOSPI, which fell 11.25%, The Shanghai Composite which slipped 17. 13% and the Hang Seng that fell 4.88%, meant that the Indian stock markets had gained in comparison to them.
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